HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN EMPERICAL ANALYSIS
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HUMAN
CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN NIGERIA: AN EMPERICAL ANALYSIS
Abstract
This study
examined and analyzed the impact of human capital development on economic
growth in Nigeria, using time series data of 32 years spanning 1980 to 2012,
data utilized for the study were extracted from secondary sources i.e. journals
and publications, CBN and NBS. The Ordinary Least Square Regression technique
was used to estimate the parameters of the model. Empirical results show that
human capital development, in line with theory, exhibits significant positive
impact on output level. This implies that human capital development is
indispensable in the achievement of sustainable economic growth in Nigeria, as
there is an increase in economic performance for every increase in human
capital development. Based on the estimated regression and a descriptive
statistical analysis of trends of government commitment to human capital
development, it was found that the development of the human component of
resources of Nigeria is crucial to economic growth and hence the urgent need
for the Nigerian government to increase the funding of education and health, as
this will result to a rapid growth of the Nigerian economy.
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Education
and health are basic objectives of development; they are important ends in
themselves. Health is central to well-being, and education is essential for a
satisfying and rewarding life; both are fundamental to the broader notion of
expanded human capabilities that lie at the heart of the meaning of development
(Todaro and Smith, 2011).
No country
has achieved sustained economic development without substantial investment in
human capital. The role and importance of human capital in propelling the pace
of economic growth cannot be overemphasized. The development of human capital
has been recognized by economists to be a key prerequisite for a country’s
socioeconomic and political transformation. Therefore, human capital is
considered as the most valuable asset and needs to be mobilized, developed and empowered
to participate fully in all socio-economic activities. To do this, it is first
of all required that the stock and mix of human capital in the country be
assessed based on the outcome of this assessment, plans are put in place to
develop the required manpower to fill the existing gaps while provisions are
made for future needs.
It was
opined by Adedeji and Bamidele (2003) that the generally agreed causal factors
responsible for the impressive performance of the economy of most of the
developed and the newly industrializing countries is an impressive commitment
to human capital formation. This has been largely achieved through education
and training by all the people of these countries. It is important to know that
human capital, which gained reasonable attention, started with seminar papers
two decades of the last century. It has refined to highlight its endogenous
contributions to the growth process (Romer, 1996, 1990; Lucas, 1998).
Therefore, all developing countries were advised to invest in human capital
formation of which Nigeria also participated. Nigerian government did not only
start training people in schools, but formulated educational policies in
relation to primary, secondary and tertiary institutions towards making
education workable in Nigeria. Nigeria has come a long way in her development
planning efforts. A major component of the development planning process is the
effect in human capacity building through education and training.
Neither
classical nor neoclassical authors on economic growth gave much attention to
the role of human capital as one of the sources of growth. In contrasts, other
authors, for example, Mankiw et al (1992) postulated later that there is a
significant relationship between investment in human capital and economic
growth. In theory, since human capital is related to knowledge and
qualifications, and since economic growth depends on the progress of
technological and scientific knowledge, it is reasonable to expect that growth
is a function of human capital. The human capital development paradigm focuses
on the development of human capabilities such as enhanced knowledge and skills
as well as improved health. It is also concerned with how people acquire
knowledge and utilized it in the production process. The approach further
operates and ensures that the needs of people are not only the opportunities to
form capabilities, but also the opportunities to utilize them. This is due to
the realization that human potentials will be wasted where the efforts of human
development fails to balance the formation and use of human capabilities. In a
nutshell, the human development strategy entails that the fruits of economic
growth and development must be translated into improved and expanded choices in
the lives of people, increasing both their capabilities and opportunities
(UNDP, 2001).
It has been
stressed that the differences in the level of socio economic development across
nations is attributed not so much to natural resources and endowments and the
stock of physical capital but to the quality and quantity of human resources.
According to Oladeji and Adebayo (1996), human capital resources are a critical
variable in an economy growth process and worthy of development. They are not
only means but, more importantly, the ends that must be saved to achieve
economic growth and progress. This is underscored by Harbinson (1973), who
posited that “human resources constitute the ultimate basis for the wealth of
nations. Capital and natural resources are passive factors of production human
being are the active agents who accumulate capital, exploit natural resources,
build social, economic and political organizations, and carry forward national
development. Clearly a country which is unable to develop the skills and
knowledge of its people and to utilize them effectively in the national economy
will be unable to develop anything else”.
Nigeria has
been involved in planning to develop the country since her independence. But
the strategy has been emphasizing heavily on the accumulation of physical or
material capital to the detriment of human capital in the quest for rapid
socio-economic progress. However, previous development strategies which
virtually ignored the social or human aspect of development did little to
alleviate the pace of development in the country. However, since 1990 when the
United Nations Development (UNDP) started publishing the human development
report year after year, the human development pathway to development began to
gain grounds in many countries including Nigeria. The 1999 UNDP human
development report on Nigeria highlighted the over arching problem of poverty
in the country. The report noted that no meaning policies or programme for the
alleviation of poverty can be successfully developed in the country outside the
framework of a holistic sustainable human development paradigm (UNDP, 1999).
The federal government of Nigeria, perhaps in response to the 1999 UNDP report
on the country, seems to have now embraced the philosophy of human development
strategy as evidenced in its declare guiding principles in the 1999-2003
economic policy document “the economy exists for and belong to the people and
at all times the general well-being of all people shall be the over-riding
objectives of the effort”.
In more
recent times, renewed attention was paid to the role of human capital formation
in the country’s development process and this has prompted the federal
government to declare in its 1999-2003 economic policy programme that “the
economy exists for and belongs to the people, and at all times the general
objectives of the government and the proper measure of performance” (FGN,
1999). This policy statement of the government is furthered reiterated in the
National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS). The provision
of high quality education and health care to all the country’s citizen is
considered a key element of public policy by all levels of government.
In the same
regard, the National Economic Empowerment and Development Strategy (NEEDS, 2004
- 2007) document stated that NEEDS is about the Nigerian people. Their welfare,
health, employment education, political power, physical security and
empowerment are of paramount importance in realizing their vision (Nigeria,
2004. p11). Also, Nigeria along with other 191 member countries of the United
Nations Organizations (UNO) subscribed to the attainment of the Millennium
Development Goals (MDGs) by the year 2015. These MDGs are salient to human
capital development as they are geared towards reducing poverty, ill-health and
educational deprivation.
The 2010
Human Development Index (HDI), values for Nigeria was 0.423 placing her in the
142nd position among 169 countries with comparative data, whereas Ghana ranked
130 with HDI value of 0.467 while South Africa placed 110 with HDI, value of
0.597. In three broad categories of; high, medium and low human development,
Nigeria was grouped among the countries considered to have low human
development (UNDP. 2010).
Human
capital formation is a prerequisite for Nigeria and Nigerians to become
competitive in the 21st century globalized economy which is knowledge based. A
country’s competitiveness in the New International Economic Order (NIEO) is
strongly connected to human capital. Hence human formation is undoutbly the
pivot for any meaningful programme of socio-economic development of Nigeria and
indeed of any country. Highly skilled and flexible human capital is essential
to compete effectively in today’s world and is a key building block of a
knowledge based economy. Such human capital encourages nations to adopt, adapt,
use and produce knowledge ad to become central to its development. All levels
of education have their role to play; primary education is the foundation for
life long learning (Cutz, 2006).
According to
a World Bank Report of 1996 titled, “Nigeria, poverty in the midst of plenty”
Nigeria presents a paradox, the nation itself is rich but is inhabited by poor
people. Human condition in Nigeria have greatly deteriorated, resulting to
large scale poverty as population growth has outripped the rate of food
production. The existing social services, the quality of nutrition, education
and health services have deteriorated. The challenge for Nigeria according to
Umo, (1995) is not one of improving one sector, but to adopt growth and social
services oriented programme or policies that will enable all its inhabitants to
improve their welfare such policies would switch public expenditure towards
those that emphasize the development of human capita, such policies could
result in rapid development of social indicators and under pin the formulation
of necessary policies for rapid and sustained growth. This implies the
development of her human resources which invariably is human capital
development.
Human
capital investment has been identified by scholars to entail the process of
acquiring and increasing the number of persons who have the skills, education
and experience which are critical for the economic and political development of
a country.
There are
five ways of developing human resources (Shultz. 1991):‑
(a) Health facilities and services,
broadly conceived to include all expenditures that affect the life expectancy,
strength and stamina.
(b) On the job training, including
old type of apprenticeship organized by firms.
(c) Formally organized education at
the elementary, secondary and the higher levels.
(d) Study programme for adults that
are not organized by firms, including extension programme notably in
agriculture
(e) Migrating of individuals and
families to adjust to changing job opportunities.
In its
widest sense, investment in human capital means expenditure on healthcare,
education and social services in general. It is increasingly recognized that
the growth of tangible capital stock depends to a considerable extent on human
capital for a nation which is the “process of increasing knowledge, the skills
and all capacities of all the people of the country”.
Studies made
by Schultz, Harbison, Dension, Kendrich, Abramouth, Becdar, Bowman, Kuznets and
a host of other economists reveals that one of the important factors
responsible for the rapid growth of the American economy has been the
relatively outlays in education. They said that a dollar invested in education
brings a greater increase in national income than a dollar spent on dams,
factors of production or other tangible capital goods. In Gabraith’s words “we
now get the larger part of our growth not from more capital investment but from
investment on men and improvement brought about by improved men”. Earlier
economists like Adam Smith, Veblen, and Marshal stressed the importance of
human capital in production. Less developed countries (LDCs) are characterized
by economic backwardness which manifests itself in low labour efficiency,
factor mobility, limited specialization in occupation and in trade, a deficient
supply of entrepreneurship and customary values and tradition social
institutions that minimize the incentives for economic change. The slow growth
in knowledge is an especially severe restraint on programme. To remove economic
backwardness and instill the capacity and motivations progress, it is necessary
to increase the knowledge and skills of the people. In fact, without an
improvement in the quality of human factor no progress is possible in an under
developed country.
Investment
in human capital is also required to raise the general living standards of the
people in LDCs. This is possible when education and training make fuller and
rational utilization of surplus manpower by providing larger and better jobs
opportunities in both rural and urban areas. These in turn, raise incomes and
living standards of the people. Therefore, economists are of the view that it
is the lack of investment in human capital that has been responsible for the
slow growth of less developed countries (LDCs) such as Nigeria.
1.2 STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM
Recognition
had been made of no significant economic growth by any country without adequate
development of her human capital. In the past, much of the planning in Nigeria
was catered on the accumulation of physical capital for rapid growth and
development without recognition of the important role played by human capital
in the development process. The Human Development Index provides a composite
measure of three dimensions of human development, namely health, education and
income; living a long and health life (measured by life expectancy), being
educated (measured by adult literacy and education of primary secondary and
tertiary levels) and having a decent standard of living (measured by purchasing
power parity and income). Data obtained are combined into an index, on a scale
of 0 – 1 with the following subdivisions; high human development (0.8-1.0),
medium human development (0.5-0.7) and low human development (0.0-0.49) (UNDP,
2010).
Nigeria
scored on the 2010 Global Competitiveness Index (GCI) was 3.38 which gave her a
rank of 127 out of the 139 countries surveyed. Furthermore, National Average
per capital income suing purchasing power parity (PPP) method, in Nigeria 2010
was a mere US $900 compare to $2,190 in Ghana and $10,290 in South Africa with
the corresponding ranks of 139,157 and 74 for Nigeria, Ghana and South Africa
respectively. In 2010, life expectancy in Nigeria was 48.4 years, below that of
Ghana of 57.1 years South Africa at 52 years.
Public
spending on social service such as education and health care that are critical
to human capital development is generally low in Nigeria. the country’s
budgetary allocation to education is still a far cry from the United Nation
Education, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) recommendation of 26% of
the national budget which is to be spent on education by member countries. The
outcome of the low spending on education is the continued decline in
educational opportunities and standard in the country. The health sector in
Nigeria is likewise in a state of parlous decay. Budgetary allocation to health
as a proportion of the national budget fluctuated between 2.70% and 7.00% from
1999 to 2010 (Federal Ministry of Finance, 2010). The country’s health sector
was ranked 191 among 201 countries surveyed by the World Health Organization
(WHO) in 2010. However, it is obvious that only a healthy population can be
fully productive as health care is not only health producing by also wealth
producing. The foregoing is indicative that human capital in Nigeria is severely
under-developed. Based on these problems, this study seeks to examine human
capital as the key to Nigeria economic growth and development.
In the light
of the problem therefore, this study seeks to proffer answers to the following
questions:
(a) Does human capital development
impact on economic growth in Nigeria?
(b) Doesgovernment expenditure on
education have significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria?
(c) Does government expenditure on
health have significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria?
(d) Does the level of school
enrollment have significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria?
(e) Does the level of infant
mortality rate have significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria?
(f) Does life expectancy have
significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria?
1.3 OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY
The major
objective of this study is to examine human capital as a key to Nigeria
economic growth and development. Other secondary objective of this study will
be:
(a) To examine the impact of human
capital development on economic growth in Nigeria.
(b) To assess the impact of
government expenditure on education and economic growth in Nigeria.
(c) To assess the impact of
government expenditure on health and economic growth in Nigeria.
(d) To investigate the impact of
infant mortality rate on economic growth in Nigeria.
(e) To examine the impact of life
expectancy on economic growth in Nigeria.
1.4 HYPOTHESES OF THE STUDY
The
following hypothesis were put forth for this study:
Ho: Human
capital formation has no impact on economic growth in Nigeria
Ho:
Government expenditure on education does not have significant impact on
economic growth in Nigeria
Ho:
Government expenditure on health does not have significant impact on economic
growth in Nigeria
Ho: The
level of school enrollment does not have significant effect on economic growth
in Nigeria.
1.5 SIGNIFICANCE OF THE STUDY
This study
will reveal the level of human capital investment in Nigeria, both in terms of
the government financial outlays on education and health, and the actual
resultant effect in terms of the actual school enrollment and the level of
infant mortality rate as proxies for education and health respectively. It has
been observed that investment in human capital contributes in numerous ways to
the development of a general milieu favourable to economic progress. Apart from
the extension of human capabilities. If there were inefficient management or
utilization of existing human resources, the quest to achieve economic growth
would be more and more elusive with lapse of each day as they were. In
recognition of the above, this study intends to carry out a detailed study on
the current state of the nation’s human resource development and will also
serve as a reference material for research purposes on human capital investment
and economic growth in Nigeria. as this study will be useful to policy makers,
economists, health and education experts, students and other stakeholders.
1.6 SCOPE OF THE STUDY
This study
will make use of quarterly time series data for this period 1975-2013. As
emphasis will be centered on human capital investment in terms of government
expenditure on education and health, school enrollment.
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