THE IMPACT OF POWER GENERATION ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE OF NIGERIA (1970-2015)
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THE IMPACT OF POWER
GENERATION ON ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE OF NIGERIA (1970-2015)
CHAPTER ONE
INTRODUCTION
1.1 BACKGROUND TO
THE STUDY
The advanced and developed economies of the world today would
not have been what they are today without relying on effective power generation
for their rapid growth recorded. According to Mulegeta et al (2010), power
generation is an indispensable component in economic performance, directly or
indirectly as a complement to capital and labor as an input in the production
process. However, this study is examining the impact of power generation on
economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015.
Studies have shown that the relationship between power
generation and economic growth remains indeterminate in terms of the direction
of the causal relationship and their long run as well as short run
relationships (CIA, 2011).
In Nigeria, power generation is one of the major sources of
energy driving production and facilitating services. It is a flexible source of
energy and a highly demanded resource for modern life. It is a vital
infrastructural component of economic performance. In all economies, households
and companies have extensive demand for electricity derived from power
generation (EIA, 2011). This demand is driven by several important factors such
as industrialization, extensive urbanization, population growth, rising standard
of living. One of the key policy objectives of any nation is to promote a
sustainable economic performance process that could improve the living standard
of the people. Adequate power generation is one of the major infrastructural
developments that can increase the standard of living of the people (EIA,
2011). Several policies have come and gone as an attempted act for policy
makers to decide on what approach to pursue- whether to attend to economic
performance issues, which would in turn lead to increased power generation or
to emphasize on power generation in order to attain higher income levels. But
with the inclusion of the classical production propellers i.e. capital and
labor stock, the augmentable capacity of power generation and economic performance
can be determined.
Poor access to electricity occasioned by inadequate power
generation in Nigeria has been a major impediment to Nigeria’s economic
performance. Businesses (both large and small) have been adjudged as the engine
of economic growth but its performance is grossly dismal due to inadequate
power supply. Researchers have identified the increase in power generation as a
vital component of emerging economies; economic growth of the South Asia
Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) countries – involving Bangladesh,
India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka is closely related to its power generation which
is an impediment for enhancing export values, increasing remittances receipts
from manpower supply (Sheriff, 2002). Whether African economies, most
especially Nigeria are ready for developmental take-off should be based on its
readiness to ensure adequate and regular power supply through adequate and
effective power generation system, which represent a crucial factor that
supports economic performance in developing countries.
With the collapse of the World Bank and International
Monetary Fund policy’s on Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in Africa, many
questions have been raised by scholars on the factors impeding economic
development in leading African nations including Nigeria (Jega, 2003). They
argued that economic liberalization in other parts of the world have continued
to yield anticipated results, increasing global trade and technological
advancements such that by the end of the 21st century some emergent economies
have appeared on the global capitalist markets. It is no gainsaying the fact
that the likes of Indonesia, China, Japan and Malaysia are now making new waves
in the global markets. While this thinking continues about global capitalist
development, researches conducted by the United Nations and the World Bank has
shown that Nigeria's economic performance is routinely constrained by some
inherent cultural factors (NISER, 2000). Although Nigeria is rich in human and
material resources, its economic and political developments have been fraught
with crises since independence in 1960. Indices of the failure of the Nigerian
state are today evident in the pervasive cases of hunger, inflation, budget
deficits, debt overhang, street begging, prostitution, frauds, high crime rates
in major cities, collapse of manufacturing industries, corruption in public
service, stagnation in entrepreneurial development and epileptic power supply
(Fadeyi and Adisa, 2012). In the face of these crises it becomes difficult for
sustainable economic development to take place in the country (NISER, 2000 and
UNDP, 2006).
1.2 STATEMENT OF
THE PROBLEM
Power generation plays an important role in economic
development of Nigeria. It is, therefore important to identify the relationship
between power generation and national output and also the direction of
causality in order to get a better understanding of the vital related issues
and also determine if the results are ideal for policy formulation. The impact
of power generation on economic development in Nigeria has however being
studied in several existing literatures, but in relationship with variables
ranging from foreign direct investment to energy use and so on. This study is
to however analyze the influence of other variable on the initial relationship
i.e. power generation and economic performance. The interest of the researcher
is also to examine the huge expenditure injected annually into the power
generation and its attendant impact on the Nigerian economy.
1.3 OBJECTIVES OF
THE STUDY
The following are the objectives of this study:
To examine the impact of power generation on economic
performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015.
To examine the impact of capital investment in power on
economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015.
To examine the contribution of the total manpower (labour) in
the power sector to economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015.
1.4 RESEARCH
QUESTIONS
What is the impact of power generation on economic
performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015?
What is the impact of capital investment in power on economic
performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015?
What are the contributions of the total manpower (labour) in
the power sector to economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015?
1.5 HYPOTHESIS
Hypothesis One
HO1: There is no significant relationship between power
generation and economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015
HA1: There is significant relationship between power
generation and economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015
Hypothesis two
HO2: There is no significant relationship between capital
investment in power and economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015
HA2: There is significant relationship between capital
investment in power and economic performance of Nigeria between 1970 and 2015
Hypothesis three
HO3: There is no significant relationship between total
manpower (labour) in the power sector and economic performance of Nigeria
between 1970 and 2015
HA3: There is significant relationship between total manpower
(labour) in the power sector and economic performance of Nigeria between 1970
and 2015
1.6 SIGNIFICANCE
OF THE STUDY
The following are the significance of this study:
The results from this study will educate the government of
Nigeria, policy makers and the general public on the impact of power generation
on economic performance between 1970 and 2015. It will also reveal the effect
of the huge capital investment in power generation on the economic performance
of Nigeria.
This research will be a contribution to the body of
literature in the area of the impact of power generation on economic
performance of Nigeria, thereby constituting the empirical literature for
future research in the subject area.
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